PFE · expected move by expiry
Pfizer is priced to move 2.9% by 2026-Sep-04.
Options price a ±2.91% move (about $0.81) by 2026-Sep-04 (Fri), a range of 26.98 to 28.61 from the last price of 27.96. Max pain for that expiry is 26.50.
PFE
Pfizer Inc.
Last
27.96 -0.06 (-0.2%)
Next expiry move
±2.91% 6 days
Vol regime
Low
Put / call
0.62
Weekend
Fetched 2026-08-30, 02:48:33 AM ET
Fetched 2026-08-30, 02:48:33 AM ET
expected range last price 27.96 max painAxis 25 to 30, shared by every row
Expiry
Expected range (1 SD)
Expected move
Max pain
Odds inside
2026-Sep-04Fri, 6 days
26.98
28.61
Expected move±2.91%±$0.81
Max pain26.505.2% below last price
Odds of closing inside71%put/call 0.62
2026-Sep-11Fri, 13 days
26.66
28.82
Expected move±3.87%±$1.08
Max pain26.505.2% below last price
Odds of closing inside68%put/call 0.52
2026-Sep-18Fri, 20 days
26.27
29.09
Expected move±5.05%±$1.41
Max pain27.003.4% below last price
Odds of closing inside68%put/call 0.60
2026-Sep-25Fri, 27 days
25.93
29.31
Expected move±6.04%±$1.69
Max pain26.505.2% below last price
Odds of closing inside68%put/call 0.44
2026-Oct-02Fri, 34 days
25.57
29.80
Expected move±7.56%±$2.12
Max pain27.003.4% below last price
Odds of closing inside68%put/call 0.77
Options flow, nearest expiry
Neutral
Expensive options, selling pressure likely Score -0.11 on a -1 to +1 scale.
Key levels from open interest
28.00 pin
Heaviest put open interest sits at 28.00 and heaviest call open interest at 28.00. Price tends to gravitate toward large open interest into expiry.
Setup
Technical Breakout / Breakdown
Read from implied volatility, momentum and breakout signals across the chain. Descriptive, not a forecast.
Reading the PFE expected move table
Each row is one expiry. The shaded band is the one-standard-deviation range the option chain implies for PFE on that date: the market gives roughly a two-in-three chance that PFE closes inside it and a one-in-three chance it closes outside. The black tick is the last traded price, 27.96. The diamond is max pain, the strike where option holders would collect the least if the stock settled there.
The range widens with time because uncertainty compounds with the square root of time: the 2026-Oct-02 range (±7.56%) is wider than the 2026-Sep-04 range (±2.91%) even though the daily volatility behind both is the same. Read the methodology for the formulas, or the guide to what the expected move means in practice.
Figures are derived from delayed public option data and recalculated through the trading day. Nothing on this page is investment advice. Machine-readable version: /api/expected-move/PFE.
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