GOOGL · expected move by expiry
Alphabet is priced to move 1.8% by 2026-Aug-31.
Options price a ±1.77% move (about $6.14) by 2026-Aug-31 (Mon), a range of 339.22 to 351.50 from the last price of 346.59. Max pain for that expiry is 340.00.
GOOGL
Alphabet Inc.
Last
346.59 +5.94 (1.7%)
Next expiry move
±1.77% 2 days
Vol regime
Low
Put / call
0.49
Weekend
Fetched 2026-08-30, 12:40:55 AM ET
Fetched 2026-08-30, 12:40:55 AM ET
expected range last price 346.59 max painAxis 318 to 367, shared by every row
Expiry
Expected range (1 SD)
Expected move
Max pain
Odds inside
2026-Aug-31Mon, 2 days
339.22
351.50
Expected move±1.77%±$6.14
Max pain340.001.9% below last price
Odds of closing inside75%put/call 0.49
2026-Sep-02Wed, 4 days
334.43
354.69
Expected move±2.92%±$10.13
Max pain340.001.9% below last price
Odds of closing inside71%put/call 0.40
2026-Sep-04Fri, 6 days
331.23
356.83
Expected move±3.69%±$12.80
Max pain340.001.9% below last price
Odds of closing inside71%put/call 0.38
2026-Sep-11Fri, 13 days
320.16
364.21
Expected move±6.36%±$22.03
Max pain345.000.5% below last price
Odds of closing inside100%put/call 0.40
Options flow, nearest expiry
Caution
Bearish - options flow points to downside Score -0.44 on a -1 to +1 scale.
Key levels from open interest
345.00 / 347.50
Heaviest put open interest sits at 345.00 and heaviest call open interest at 347.50. Price tends to gravitate toward large open interest into expiry.
Setup
Technical Breakout / Breakdown
Read from implied volatility, momentum and breakout signals across the chain. Descriptive, not a forecast.
Reading the GOOGL expected move table
Each row is one expiry. The shaded band is the one-standard-deviation range the option chain implies for GOOGL on that date: the market gives roughly a two-in-three chance that GOOGL closes inside it and a one-in-three chance it closes outside. The black tick is the last traded price, 346.59. The diamond is max pain, the strike where option holders would collect the least if the stock settled there.
The range widens with time because uncertainty compounds with the square root of time: the 2026-Sep-11 range (±6.36%) is wider than the 2026-Aug-31 range (±1.77%) even though the daily volatility behind both is the same. Read the methodology for the formulas, or the guide to what the expected move means in practice.
Figures are derived from delayed public option data and recalculated through the trading day. Nothing on this page is investment advice. Machine-readable version: /api/expected-move/GOOGL.
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