META · expected move by expiry
Meta Platforms is priced to move 2.3% by 2026-Aug-31.
Options price a ±2.26% move (about $13.04) by 2026-Aug-31 (Mon), a range of 562.37 to 588.45 from the last price of 578.02. Max pain for that expiry is 567.50.
META
Meta Platforms, Inc.
Last
578.02 +6.92 (1.2%)
Next expiry move
±2.26% 2 days
Vol regime
Low
Put / call
0.46
Weekend
Fetched 2026-08-30, 12:37:17 AM ET
Fetched 2026-08-30, 12:37:17 AM ET
expected range last price 578.02 max painAxis 517 to 620, shared by every row
Expiry
Expected range (1 SD)
Expected move
Max pain
Odds inside
2026-Aug-31Mon, 2 days
562.37
588.45
Expected move±2.26%±$13.04
Max pain567.501.8% below last price
Odds of closing inside74%put/call 0.46
2026-Sep-02Wed, 4 days
551.99
595.37
Expected move±3.75%±$21.69
Max pain560.003.1% below last price
Odds of closing inside71%put/call 0.33
2026-Sep-04Fri, 6 days
545.50
599.70
Expected move±4.69%±$27.10
Max pain572.501.0% below last price
Odds of closing inside69%put/call 0.43
2026-Sep-11Fri, 13 days
533.58
607.64
Expected move±6.41%±$37.03
Max pain565.002.3% below last price
Odds of closing inside68%put/call 0.46
2026-Sep-18Fri, 20 days
522.63
614.95
Expected move±7.99%±$46.16
Max pain595.002.9% above last price
Odds of closing inside68%put/call 0.77
Options flow, nearest expiry
Caution
Bearish - options flow points to downside Score -0.51 on a -1 to +1 scale.
Key levels from open interest
577.50 / 580.00
Heaviest put open interest sits at 577.50 and heaviest call open interest at 580.00. Price tends to gravitate toward large open interest into expiry.
Setup
Technical Breakout / Breakdown
Read from implied volatility, momentum and breakout signals across the chain. Descriptive, not a forecast.
Reading the META expected move table
Each row is one expiry. The shaded band is the one-standard-deviation range the option chain implies for META on that date: the market gives roughly a two-in-three chance that META closes inside it and a one-in-three chance it closes outside. The black tick is the last traded price, 578.02. The diamond is max pain, the strike where option holders would collect the least if the stock settled there.
The range widens with time because uncertainty compounds with the square root of time: the 2026-Sep-18 range (±7.99%) is wider than the 2026-Aug-31 range (±2.26%) even though the daily volatility behind both is the same. Read the methodology for the formulas, or the guide to what the expected move means in practice.
Figures are derived from delayed public option data and recalculated through the trading day. Nothing on this page is investment advice. Machine-readable version: /api/expected-move/META.
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