AMD · expected move by expiry
Advanced Micro Devices is priced to move 3.0% by 2026-Aug-31.
Options price a ±3.00% move (about $13.95) by 2026-Aug-31 (Mon), a range of 448.84 to 476.74 from the last price of 465.58. Max pain for that expiry is 482.50.
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.
Last
465.58 -11.09 (-2.3%)
Next expiry move
±3.00% 2 days
Vol regime
Low
Put / call
0.88
Weekend
Fetched 2026-08-30, 12:37:18 AM ET
Fetched 2026-08-30, 12:37:18 AM ET
expected range last price 465.58 max painAxis 372 to 515, shared by every row
Expiry
Expected range (1 SD)
Expected move
Max pain
Odds inside
2026-Aug-31Mon, 2 days
448.84
476.74
Expected move±3.00%±$13.95
Max pain482.503.6% above last price
Odds of closing inside74%put/call 0.88
2026-Sep-02Wed, 4 days
438.19
483.84
Expected move±4.90%±$22.82
Max pain475.002.0% above last price
Odds of closing inside69%put/call 0.83
2026-Sep-04Fri, 6 days
430.22
489.15
Expected move±6.33%±$29.46
Max pain480.003.1% above last price
Odds of closing inside68%put/call 1.15
2026-Sep-11Fri, 13 days
415.33
499.08
Expected move±8.99%±$41.87
Max pain480.003.1% above last price
Odds of closing inside68%put/call 2.17
2026-Sep-18Fri, 20 days
402.24
507.81
Expected move±11.34%±$52.78
Max pain380.0018.4% below last price
Odds of closing inside68%put/call 1.19
Options flow, nearest expiry
Constructive
Lean bullish - moderate positive flow Score 0.25 on a -1 to +1 scale.
Key levels from open interest
465.00 / 470.00
Heaviest put open interest sits at 465.00 and heaviest call open interest at 470.00. Price tends to gravitate toward large open interest into expiry.
Setup
Pre-Earnings / IV Spike Setup
Read from implied volatility, momentum and breakout signals across the chain. Descriptive, not a forecast.
Reading the AMD expected move table
Each row is one expiry. The shaded band is the one-standard-deviation range the option chain implies for AMD on that date: the market gives roughly a two-in-three chance that AMD closes inside it and a one-in-three chance it closes outside. The black tick is the last traded price, 465.58. The diamond is max pain, the strike where option holders would collect the least if the stock settled there.
The range widens with time because uncertainty compounds with the square root of time: the 2026-Sep-18 range (±11.34%) is wider than the 2026-Aug-31 range (±3.00%) even though the daily volatility behind both is the same. Read the methodology for the formulas, or the guide to what the expected move means in practice.
Figures are derived from delayed public option data and recalculated through the trading day. Nothing on this page is investment advice. Machine-readable version: /api/expected-move/AMD.
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