QCOM · expected move by expiry
QUALCOMM Incorporated is priced to move 5.2% by 2026-Sep-04.
Options price a ±5.19% move (about $8.52) by 2026-Sep-04 (Fri), a range of 153.96 to 171.01 from the last price of 164.19. Max pain for that expiry is 160.00.
QCOM
QUALCOMM Incorporated
Last
164.19 -0.59 (-0.4%)
Next expiry move
±5.19% 6 days
Vol regime
Low
Put / call
0.38
Weekend
Fetched 2026-08-30, 02:47:53 AM ET
Fetched 2026-08-30, 02:47:53 AM ET
expected range last price 164.19 max painAxis 137 to 186, shared by every row
Expiry
Expected range (1 SD)
Expected move
Max pain
Odds inside
2026-Sep-04Fri, 6 days
153.96
171.01
Expected move±5.19%±$8.52
Max pain160.002.6% below last price
Odds of closing inside68%put/call 0.38
2026-Sep-11Fri, 13 days
149.18
174.20
Expected move±7.62%±$12.51
Max pain160.002.6% below last price
Odds of closing inside68%put/call 0.24
2026-Sep-18Fri, 20 days
145.14
176.89
Expected move±9.67%±$15.87
Max pain170.003.5% above last price
Odds of closing inside68%put/call 0.68
2026-Sep-25Fri, 27 days
141.66
179.21
Expected move±11.44%±$18.78
Max pain160.002.6% below last price
Odds of closing inside68%put/call 1.46
2026-Oct-02Fri, 34 days
139.97
183.19
Expected move±13.16%±$21.61
Max pain160.002.6% below last price
Odds of closing inside69%put/call 0.81
Options flow, nearest expiry
Caution
Lean bearish - moderate negative flow Score -0.27 on a -1 to +1 scale.
Key levels from open interest
162.50 / 165.00
Heaviest put open interest sits at 162.50 and heaviest call open interest at 165.00. Price tends to gravitate toward large open interest into expiry.
Setup
Pre-Earnings / IV Spike Setup
Read from implied volatility, momentum and breakout signals across the chain. Descriptive, not a forecast.
Reading the QCOM expected move table
Each row is one expiry. The shaded band is the one-standard-deviation range the option chain implies for QCOM on that date: the market gives roughly a two-in-three chance that QCOM closes inside it and a one-in-three chance it closes outside. The black tick is the last traded price, 164.19. The diamond is max pain, the strike where option holders would collect the least if the stock settled there.
The range widens with time because uncertainty compounds with the square root of time: the 2026-Oct-02 range (±13.16%) is wider than the 2026-Sep-04 range (±5.19%) even though the daily volatility behind both is the same. Read the methodology for the formulas, or the guide to what the expected move means in practice.
Figures are derived from delayed public option data and recalculated through the trading day. Nothing on this page is investment advice. Machine-readable version: /api/expected-move/QCOM.
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