LOW · expected move by expiry
Lowe's Companies is priced to move 3.6% by 2026-Sep-04.
Options price a ±3.60% move (about $7.48) by 2026-Sep-04 (Fri), a range of 199.07 to 214.03 from the last price of 208.05. Max pain for that expiry is 212.50.
LOW
Lowe's Companies, Inc.
Last
208.05 +1.31 (0.6%)
Next expiry move
±3.60% 6 days
Vol regime
Low
Put / call
0.98
Weekend
Fetched 2026-08-30, 02:52:17 AM ET
Fetched 2026-08-30, 02:52:17 AM ET
expected range last price 208.05 max painAxis 185 to 231, shared by every row
Expiry
Expected range (1 SD)
Expected move
Max pain
Odds inside
2026-Sep-04Fri, 6 days
199.07
214.03
Expected move±3.60%±$7.48
Max pain212.502.1% above last price
Odds of closing inside67%put/call 0.98
2026-Sep-11Fri, 13 days
197.26
215.85
Expected move±4.47%±$9.30
Max pain215.003.3% above last price
Odds of closing inside100%put/call 0.53
2026-Sep-18Fri, 20 days
191.63
218.99
Expected move±6.58%±$13.68
Max pain220.005.7% above last price
Odds of closing inside68%put/call 0.62
2026-Sep-25Fri, 27 days
191.59
224.51
Expected move±7.91%±$16.46
Max pain210.000.9% above last price
Odds of closing inside68%put/call 0.78
2026-Oct-02Fri, 34 days
187.56
228.54
Expected move±9.85%±$20.49
Max pain210.000.9% above last price
Odds of closing inside68%put/call 0.58
Options flow, nearest expiry
Constructive
Bullish - strong options flow supports upside Score 0.41 on a -1 to +1 scale.
Key levels from open interest
207.50 / 212.50
Heaviest put open interest sits at 207.50 and heaviest call open interest at 212.50. Price tends to gravitate toward large open interest into expiry.
Setup
Reversal Setup
Read from implied volatility, momentum and breakout signals across the chain. Descriptive, not a forecast.
Reading the LOW expected move table
Each row is one expiry. The shaded band is the one-standard-deviation range the option chain implies for LOW on that date: the market gives roughly a two-in-three chance that LOW closes inside it and a one-in-three chance it closes outside. The black tick is the last traded price, 208.05. The diamond is max pain, the strike where option holders would collect the least if the stock settled there.
The range widens with time because uncertainty compounds with the square root of time: the 2026-Oct-02 range (±9.85%) is wider than the 2026-Sep-04 range (±3.60%) even though the daily volatility behind both is the same. Read the methodology for the formulas, or the guide to what the expected move means in practice.
Figures are derived from delayed public option data and recalculated through the trading day. Nothing on this page is investment advice. Machine-readable version: /api/expected-move/LOW.
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