NET · expected move by expiry
Cloudflare is priced to move 7.1% by 2026-Sep-04.
Options price a ±7.10% move (about $21.29) by 2026-Sep-04 (Fri), a range of 274.30 to 316.87 from the last price of 299.84. Max pain for that expiry is 290.00.
NET
Cloudflare, Inc.
Last
299.84 -8.39 (-2.7%)
Next expiry move
±7.10% 6 days
Vol regime
Low
Put / call
0.61
Weekend
Fetched 2026-08-30, 02:46:34 AM ET
Fetched 2026-08-30, 02:46:34 AM ET
expected range last price 299.84 max painAxis 245 to 354, shared by every row
Expiry
Expected range (1 SD)
Expected move
Max pain
Odds inside
2026-Sep-04Fri, 6 days
274.30
316.87
Expected move±7.10%±$21.29
Max pain290.003.3% below last price
Odds of closing inside70%put/call 0.61
2026-Sep-11Fri, 13 days
263.81
323.86
Expected move±10.01%±$30.02
Max pain285.004.9% below last price
Odds of closing inside68%put/call 1.37
2026-Sep-18Fri, 20 days
255.84
329.17
Expected move±12.23%±$36.66
Max pain260.0013.3% below last price
Odds of closing inside68%put/call 4.61
2026-Sep-25Fri, 27 days
251.21
338.08
Expected move±14.49%±$43.43
Max pain290.003.3% below last price
Odds of closing inside69%put/call 0.88
2026-Oct-02Fri, 34 days
251.49
348.19
Expected move±16.12%±$48.35
Max pain295.001.6% below last price
Odds of closing inside69%put/call 1.47
Options flow, nearest expiry
Caution
Bearish - options flow points to downside Score -0.41 on a -1 to +1 scale.
Key levels from open interest
275.00 / 310.00
Heaviest put open interest sits at 275.00 and heaviest call open interest at 310.00. Price tends to gravitate toward large open interest into expiry.
Setup
Pre-Earnings / IV Spike Setup
Read from implied volatility, momentum and breakout signals across the chain. Descriptive, not a forecast.
Reading the NET expected move table
Each row is one expiry. The shaded band is the one-standard-deviation range the option chain implies for NET on that date: the market gives roughly a two-in-three chance that NET closes inside it and a one-in-three chance it closes outside. The black tick is the last traded price, 299.84. The diamond is max pain, the strike where option holders would collect the least if the stock settled there.
The range widens with time because uncertainty compounds with the square root of time: the 2026-Oct-02 range (±16.12%) is wider than the 2026-Sep-04 range (±7.10%) even though the daily volatility behind both is the same. Read the methodology for the formulas, or the guide to what the expected move means in practice.
Figures are derived from delayed public option data and recalculated through the trading day. Nothing on this page is investment advice. Machine-readable version: /api/expected-move/NET.
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