LRCX · expected move by expiry
Lam Research is priced to move 7.6% by 2026-Sep-04.
Options price a ±7.62% move (about $23.01) by 2026-Sep-04 (Fri), a range of 274.28 to 320.31 from the last price of 301.90. Max pain for that expiry is 305.00.
LRCX
Lam Research Corporation
Last
301.90 -16.68 (-5.2%)
Next expiry move
±7.62% 6 days
Vol regime
Low
Put / call
0.62
Weekend
Fetched 2026-08-30, 02:54:31 AM ET
Fetched 2026-08-30, 02:54:31 AM ET
expected range last price 301.90 max painAxis 244 to 359, shared by every row
Expiry
Expected range (1 SD)
Expected move
Max pain
Odds inside
2026-Sep-04Fri, 6 days
274.28
320.31
Expected move±7.62%±$23.01
Max pain305.001.0% above last price
Odds of closing inside71%put/call 0.62
2026-Sep-11Fri, 13 days
264.84
326.61
Expected move±10.23%±$30.89
Max pain310.002.7% above last price
Odds of closing inside68%put/call 0.90
2026-Sep-18Fri, 20 days
255.57
332.79
Expected move±12.79%±$38.61
Max pain280.007.3% below last price
Odds of closing inside69%put/call 1.32
2026-Sep-25Fri, 27 days
250.34
341.41
Expected move±15.08%±$45.54
Max pain310.002.7% above last price
Odds of closing inside69%put/call 1.03
2026-Oct-02Fri, 34 days
250.64
353.16
Expected move±16.98%±$51.26
Max pain315.004.3% above last price
Odds of closing inside69%put/call 0.57
Options flow, nearest expiry
Neutral
Expensive options, selling pressure likely Score 0.09 on a -1 to +1 scale.
Key levels from open interest
300.00 / 322.50
Heaviest put open interest sits at 300.00 and heaviest call open interest at 322.50. Price tends to gravitate toward large open interest into expiry.
Setup
Pre-Earnings / IV Spike Setup
Read from implied volatility, momentum and breakout signals across the chain. Descriptive, not a forecast.
Reading the LRCX expected move table
Each row is one expiry. The shaded band is the one-standard-deviation range the option chain implies for LRCX on that date: the market gives roughly a two-in-three chance that LRCX closes inside it and a one-in-three chance it closes outside. The black tick is the last traded price, 301.90. The diamond is max pain, the strike where option holders would collect the least if the stock settled there.
The range widens with time because uncertainty compounds with the square root of time: the 2026-Oct-02 range (±16.98%) is wider than the 2026-Sep-04 range (±7.62%) even though the daily volatility behind both is the same. Read the methodology for the formulas, or the guide to what the expected move means in practice.
Figures are derived from delayed public option data and recalculated through the trading day. Nothing on this page is investment advice. Machine-readable version: /api/expected-move/LRCX.
Other tickers