CRWD · expected move by expiry
CrowdStrike Holdings is priced to move 7.7% by 2026-Sep-04.
Options price a ±7.73% move (about $16.88) by 2026-Sep-04 (Fri), a range of 198.15 to 231.90 from the last price of 218.40. Max pain for that expiry is 200.00.
CRWD
CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.
Last
218.40 -9.56 (-4.2%)
Next expiry move
±7.73% 6 days
Vol regime
Low
Put / call
0.56
Weekend
Fetched 2026-08-30, 02:54:16 AM ET
Fetched 2026-08-30, 02:54:16 AM ET
expected range last price 218.40 max painAxis 170 to 255, shared by every row
Expiry
Expected range (1 SD)
Expected move
Max pain
Odds inside
2026-Sep-04Fri, 6 days
198.15
231.90
Expected move±7.73%±$16.88
Max pain200.008.4% below last price
Odds of closing inside70%put/call 0.56
2026-Sep-11Fri, 13 days
193.40
235.07
Expected move±9.54%±$20.83
Max pain200.008.4% below last price
Odds of closing inside68%put/call 0.72
2026-Sep-18Fri, 20 days
187.15
239.24
Expected move±11.93%±$26.04
Max pain175.0019.9% below last price
Odds of closing inside68%put/call 0.87
2026-Sep-25Fri, 27 days
181.42
244.17
Expected move±14.37%±$31.38
Max pain205.006.1% below last price
Odds of closing inside69%put/call 1.09
2026-Oct-02Fri, 34 days
180.58
250.41
Expected move±15.99%±$34.92
Max pain200.008.4% below last price
Odds of closing inside69%put/call 1.44
Options flow, nearest expiry
Caution
Bearish - options flow points to downside Score -0.59 on a -1 to +1 scale.
Key levels from open interest
210.00 / 220.00
Heaviest put open interest sits at 210.00 and heaviest call open interest at 220.00. Price tends to gravitate toward large open interest into expiry.
Setup
Technical Breakout / Breakdown
Read from implied volatility, momentum and breakout signals across the chain. Descriptive, not a forecast.
Reading the CRWD expected move table
Each row is one expiry. The shaded band is the one-standard-deviation range the option chain implies for CRWD on that date: the market gives roughly a two-in-three chance that CRWD closes inside it and a one-in-three chance it closes outside. The black tick is the last traded price, 218.40. The diamond is max pain, the strike where option holders would collect the least if the stock settled there.
The range widens with time because uncertainty compounds with the square root of time: the 2026-Oct-02 range (±15.99%) is wider than the 2026-Sep-04 range (±7.73%) even though the daily volatility behind both is the same. Read the methodology for the formulas, or the guide to what the expected move means in practice.
Figures are derived from delayed public option data and recalculated through the trading day. Nothing on this page is investment advice. Machine-readable version: /api/expected-move/CRWD.
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