PEP · expected move by expiry
PepsiCo is priced to move 3.1% by 2026-Sep-04.
Options price a ±3.12% move (about $4.40) by 2026-Sep-04 (Fri), a range of 135.79 to 144.59 from the last price of 141.07. Max pain for that expiry is 141.00.
PEP
PepsiCo, Inc.
Last
141.07 +1.35 (1.0%)
Next expiry move
±3.12% 6 days
Vol regime
Low
Put / call
0.76
Weekend
Fetched 2026-08-30, 02:48:46 AM ET
Fetched 2026-08-30, 02:48:46 AM ET
expected range last price 141.07 max painAxis 127 to 152, shared by every row
Expiry
Expected range (1 SD)
Expected move
Max pain
Odds inside
2026-Sep-04Fri, 6 days
135.79
144.59
Expected move±3.12%±$4.40
Max pain141.000.0% below last price
Odds of closing inside68%put/call 0.76
2026-Sep-11Fri, 13 days
133.57
146.07
Expected move±4.43%±$6.25
Max pain140.000.8% below last price
Odds of closing inside68%put/call 1.01
2026-Sep-18Fri, 20 days
131.78
147.26
Expected move±5.49%±$7.74
Max pain140.000.8% below last price
Odds of closing inside68%put/call 0.41
2026-Sep-25Fri, 27 days
128.01
149.78
Expected move±7.71%±$10.88
Max pain141.000.0% below last price
Odds of closing inside68%put/call 1.56
2026-Oct-02Fri, 34 days
128.81
151.10
Expected move±7.90%±$11.15
Max pain142.000.7% above last price
Odds of closing inside68%put/call 1.01
Options flow, nearest expiry
Caution
Lean bearish - moderate negative flow Score -0.40 on a -1 to +1 scale.
Key levels from open interest
140.00 / 141.00
Heaviest put open interest sits at 140.00 and heaviest call open interest at 141.00. Price tends to gravitate toward large open interest into expiry.
Setup
Technical Breakout / Breakdown
Read from implied volatility, momentum and breakout signals across the chain. Descriptive, not a forecast.
Reading the PEP expected move table
Each row is one expiry. The shaded band is the one-standard-deviation range the option chain implies for PEP on that date: the market gives roughly a two-in-three chance that PEP closes inside it and a one-in-three chance it closes outside. The black tick is the last traded price, 141.07. The diamond is max pain, the strike where option holders would collect the least if the stock settled there.
The range widens with time because uncertainty compounds with the square root of time: the 2026-Oct-02 range (±7.90%) is wider than the 2026-Sep-04 range (±3.12%) even though the daily volatility behind both is the same. Read the methodology for the formulas, or the guide to what the expected move means in practice.
Figures are derived from delayed public option data and recalculated through the trading day. Nothing on this page is investment advice. Machine-readable version: /api/expected-move/PEP.
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