DE · expected move by expiry
Deere & Company is priced to move 4.3% by 2026-Sep-04.
Options price a ±4.29% move (about $27.03) by 2026-Sep-04 (Fri), a range of 597.89 to 651.96 from the last price of 630.33. Max pain for that expiry is 640.00.
DE
Deere & Company
Last
630.33 +7.67 (1.2%)
Next expiry move
±4.29% 6 days
Vol regime
Low
Put / call
1.38
Weekend
Fetched 2026-08-30, 02:50:42 AM ET
Fetched 2026-08-30, 02:50:42 AM ET
expected range last price 630.33 max painAxis 547 to 693, shared by every row
Expiry
Expected range (1 SD)
Expected move
Max pain
Odds inside
2026-Sep-04Fri, 6 days
597.89
651.96
Expected move±4.29%±$27.03
Max pain640.001.5% above last price
Odds of closing inside69%put/call 1.38
2026-Sep-11Fri, 13 days
582.14
662.46
Expected move±6.37%±$40.16
Max pain620.001.6% below last price
Odds of closing inside68%put/call 0.75
2026-Sep-18Fri, 20 days
573.50
668.21
Expected move±7.51%±$47.36
Max pain600.004.8% below last price
Odds of closing inside68%put/call 0.60
2026-Sep-25Fri, 27 days
564.08
674.50
Expected move±8.76%±$55.21
Max pain640.001.5% above last price
Odds of closing inside68%put/call 0.95
2026-Oct-02Fri, 34 days
554.37
684.93
Expected move±10.36%±$65.28
Max pain630.000.1% below last price
Odds of closing inside68%put/call 1.04
Options flow, nearest expiry
Neutral
Expensive options, selling pressure likely Score -0.08 on a -1 to +1 scale.
Key levels from open interest
625.00 / 650.00
Heaviest put open interest sits at 625.00 and heaviest call open interest at 650.00. Price tends to gravitate toward large open interest into expiry.
Setup
Pre-Earnings / IV Spike Setup
Read from implied volatility, momentum and breakout signals across the chain. Descriptive, not a forecast.
Reading the DE expected move table
Each row is one expiry. The shaded band is the one-standard-deviation range the option chain implies for DE on that date: the market gives roughly a two-in-three chance that DE closes inside it and a one-in-three chance it closes outside. The black tick is the last traded price, 630.33. The diamond is max pain, the strike where option holders would collect the least if the stock settled there.
The range widens with time because uncertainty compounds with the square root of time: the 2026-Oct-02 range (±10.36%) is wider than the 2026-Sep-04 range (±4.29%) even though the daily volatility behind both is the same. Read the methodology for the formulas, or the guide to what the expected move means in practice.
Figures are derived from delayed public option data and recalculated through the trading day. Nothing on this page is investment advice. Machine-readable version: /api/expected-move/DE.
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